More cave tries or more retired critters?

chowchow2012 • 22 April 2013 at 6:26 PM

I dunno its because we have almost 50 available eggs excluding CSP, Mos, terron and LEs. So this means you 1/50 chance of it getting anything out of the cave if chances of getting species are supposed to be equal. So this means a 5% chance of any species at all. Then in that 5% you only get 10 cave tries so really your chances aren't that good.

Also, if you look at the rarities LE released from 2012 had a much higher rarity. For example EC b-day 2012 the rarities were in the 100's after 5 days(Rarities are 40 now a lot died you see). Nowadays I've seen the Ott rarity only about 40. That's a pretty big difference, its not whether luck has anything do with it but your chances of a species 5% of time really isn't working out.

Also rarities won't tip that much because your chances are really low now and even if you get more cave tries really, I doubt someone's going to steal 20 eggs per day everyday, just like how we wouldn't steal 10 eggs everyday from the cave.

And then most users are asking for CC here for new LEs since many are unable to buy some this can cause unhappiness throughout EC. Which also causes people to leave.

I don't know I'm just trying to make a point here so please read all of it before you comment.

mairbear • 22 April 2013 at 6:45 PM

@chowchow2012

I saw this question and then I was like, ooh yay studying chance! XD

Going with 50 available eggs, that's a 2% chance you get the one you want. i.e. 98% chance you don't.

LEs tend to be released for around 5 days, that is 50 tries.

prob(failure) = 0.98^50 = 0.36
prob(success) = 1 - 0.36 = 0.64

Hmm so 64% chance... yeah, it could be better 😋
But also just keep in mind that higher rarity of LE creatures make it easier for new users to trade up ^^''


P.S. If anyone wants to correct my math, I welcome it XD Not sure if I did it right.. o_o''

lucky_wolf • 26 April 2013 at 6:42 PM

I wish we had more cave tires.. would be great! I like it 😊